Tonight’s forecast is unsettled to active, G1 storm conditions. In fact, the next 3 nights are forecast great for a show in Alaska and much of Canada. The northern US may see displays very low on the horizon. The Kp level is expected to be 4 and of this post at 520pm Alaska time the Kp level is 3.
It gets dark after 9pm in North Pole, and auroras are possible at that time. They can start and stop at any time of the night and continue til the sun rises. No one knows a time, not any person, nor any app. All we can do is give a best guess. Typically, the best shows arrive well after midnight. You cannot see the aurora if you are asleep. This may be the obvious, but many people simply give up too soon.
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