The aurora forecast for tonight is quiet to minor storm levels with the predicted CME on it’s way sometime tonight or tomorrow morning. On the radio, I heard that they will be “active”. This does not mean that they will be dancing in the sky, it means that the Kp level predicted is Kp 4, and for Fairbanks, that means the lights can be overhead. However, the NOAA forecast is G1 storm, which is Kp 5. Some are saying the CME will not hit after all, and the data sure does look poor at the moment (415 pm Alaska time). The best I can say for now is just wait and see what happens and hope for the best. If the Kp levels rise, then the aurora oval will go further south, and the upper portion of the contiguous USA may see lights, as well as Canada and Alaska. Cloudy and rainy weather from the big storm in the midwest will prevent you from seeing aurora. Alaska’s weather is also looking poor.
You can take a peek on the cams to see how the weather is and if the aurora is out tonight. Here are a few cam links:
Geo Phys Institute All-sky cam, Chatanika, Alaska
Live! Aurora Cam, AuLive, U-zo cam, Chatanika, Alaska
AlaskaAuroracam.com by Ronn Murray Photography, Fairbanks, Alaska,
Univ of SK, Saskatchewan Canada
StarCam, Sebec Lake, Maine
Porjus webcams, Sweden
Tromso Norway webcam, National Institute of Polar Research
I would be happy to add your Aurora Cam link to my list. Email Amy at firstname.lastname@example.org.