We are on AURORA WATCH tonight! Lots of hype on this storm. Will the aurora be seen in your area (lower 48)? The answer is MAYBE. Not YES not NO, just MAYBE. Fairbanks is socked in with clouds. Some are saying Kp 7 possible. All we can do it WAIT. As soon as the data shows more info, we will post. It could be soon, it could be hours, it could be morning (in which Europe will get the show). Current time of this post: 6pm Alaska time.
So much for last nights aurora forecast….nothing was seen in Alaska aside from some auroras on the north slope, and clouds completely covered the sky in North Pole. If the aurora comes out, we post it on Facebook, on auroranotify.com, twitter @auroranotify, and send out alerts to subscribers. Alerts are not based on Kp levels but only on actual aurora visible (or imminent) in the sky. Tonight: another excellent aurora forecast! Stay tuned.
Storm info: NOAA Space Weather
“2014-01-08 12:30 UTC G3 (Strong) Geomagnetic Storming Expected
SWPC Forecasters are anticipating G3 (Strong) Geomagnetic Storm conditions to occur on January 9 and 10. The source of this disturbance is a fairly fast Earth-directed coronal mass ejection (CME) launched from centrally-located Region 1944 at 1832 UTC (1:32 p.m. EST) on January 7. Full evaluation and modeling of this event has refined the forecast and indicates a fairly direct interaction with Earth, with the WSA-Enlil model putting arrival mid-morning UTC on January 9 (very early morning EST). In addition, the S2 (Moderate) Solar Radiation Storm associated with this event is currently near, but below, the S3 (Strong) threshold, with values leveling off at this time. At the Sun, Region 1944 remains well-placed and energetic. Updates here as this event progresses.”