Updated forecast great for tonight but waiting on data to improve

Tonight’s updated forecast is great for tonight but we are still waiting on data to improve. The forecast is Kp 5, but as of this post at 855pm Alaska time, the Kp level is 1. Kp 5 indicates that the predicted aurora may be seen further south: northern states bordering Canada, all of Canada, and all of Alaska. For Alaskans, this means a possible overhead show.

Clear skies in both Fairbanks and the Anchorage areas! This may be an all-nighter waiting for the aurora to make an appearance. Sneak a peek at the cams if you cannot go out. North Pole here and Wasilla here.

Auroras this weekend, end of August

NOAA put out an aurora watch for this weekend, specifically Sat night (Sun morning) and Sun night (Mon morning). A G1 storm means that the Kp level could be Kp 5. Potentially, the northern states, Canada, and entire state of Alaska could see auroras, if the weather is clear. Also, northern Europe, and southern New Zealand, and the very southern most area of Australia. As usual, the Kp level could rise and be even better than predicted, or the opposite, in which nothing will show. Exact times are not known, they are only a guess (Kp level forecast times). Best to be out when it is dark and watch for alerts and notifications. Some apps will notify you of changes in Kp level. This will give you a heads up if you are in a location where the Kp level needs to be a bit higher. However, a Kp alert is not an aurora alert. It is a potential aurora alert.

The incoming storm is from a CHHSS – Coronal Hole High Speed Stream.

The forecast for the next couple nights (before the arrival of the G1 storm) are Kp 1 and 2. Fairbanks and areas approximately 63 degrees north latitude may be able to see the lights.

Notable event on Saturday Aug 27, 2016. The HAARP Open House.

haarp open house 2016

About time for the new season to begin!

It is getting a bit darker at night in the south central, southwest, and southeast areas of Alaska. Heads up for possible auroras tonight and into this week. It is that time of year again! Fairbanks and the interior and the north should be seeing darker skies into this week. Toward the end of August is when it really starts getting good, with darker skies in the north. (Just to reiterate, there is no “aurora season”. Auroras happen all year long. However, they are better seen when the sky is dark. It does not get dark in the far north in the summer.)

How to look for auroras:
When you know the forecast is good, wait for it to be dark. Go to a dark location. From Northern Hemisphere, look north. Southern Hemisphere, look south. A perfect spot would be an area with clear skies which you can see all the way to the horizon, like from a field, lake, or flat area with no city lights in your path.

Below are some photos taken in years past in the month of August, when the sky isn’t quite dark.

Railroad tracks at Moose Creek Green aurora lights up the sky test shot after midnight Kp 2 Green burst North Pole

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