If the Data Looks like This Part 2

Results

#1. Solar winds are 670 km/sec, the Bt is 10, the Bz is +9. Can you see the aurora (in high latitudes)?

Yes!!!!

No.

No, but wait to see if the Bz changes.

The solar winds are high, and the Bt is good, but the direction of the solar winds (the Bz) needs to be southward. Until that happens, aurora may not be seen or may be faint.

#2. Using the WSA-ENLIL model, aurora may be expected because...

there is a predicted glancing blow from a CME

there is a CME with a direct hit.

leftover particles from a CME are affecting the earth's magnetic field.

there is a sudden impulse.

#3. In the forecast discussion, a solar sector boundary crossing is mentioned. Is this good for aurora watchers?

Yes.

No.

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Results

#1. Solar winds are 670 km/sec, the Bt is 10, the Bz is +9. Can you see the aurora (in high latitudes)?

#2. Using the WSA-ENLIL model, aurora may be expected because...

#3. In the forecast discussion, a solar sector boundary crossing is mentioned. Is this good for aurora watchers?

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